• Gold price attracts sellers for the fourth consecutive day amid the tariffs-block news.
  • Sustained USD buying and hawkish FOMC Minutes weigh further on the XAU/USD pair.
  • US-China trade tensions and geopolitical risks help limit losses for the precious metal.

Gold price (XAU/USD) bounces off a one-and-a-half week low, around the $3,246-3,245 area touched during the Asian session on Thursday, though it remains in negative territory for the fourth straight day. The news that a federal court blocked US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs from going into effect boosts investors’ confidence and weighs heavily on traditional safe-haven assets, including bullion. Apart from this, Wednesday’s hawkish FOMC Minutes provide an additional boost to the US Dollar (USD) and contribute to the offered tone surrounding the non-yielding yellow metal.

Meanwhile, persistent geopolitical risks and concerns about the worsening US fiscal conditions keep investors on edge and cap the optimism. Moreover, the growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower borrowing costs further in 2025 acts as a headwind for the USD and assists the Gold price in trimming a part of its intraday losses. However, the lack of any meaningful buying warrants some caution before confirming that the XAU/USD pair’s weekly downtrend has run its course. Traders now look to the US macro data and the Fed speaks for short-term opportunities.

Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price is undermined by the tariffs-block news optimism and stronger USD

  • A US federal court on Wednesday blocked US President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs from going into effect. The Court of International Trade ruled that the president overstepped his authority by imposing across-the-board duties on imports from every country in the world.
  • Investors cheered the court’s order, which is evident from a sharp rise in the equity markets on Thursday. This, in turn, is seen weighing heavily on traditional safe-haven assets and dragging the Gold price lower for the fourth successive day amid a strong follow-through US Dollar buying.
  • The better-than-expected US macro data this week calmed recession fears. Adding to this, Minutes of the Federal Reserve’s May meeting released on Wednesday revealed a consensus to maintain the wait-and-see stance on rates amid the uncertainty over the economic outlook and trade policies.
  • Fed officials highlighted the need to keep interest rates on hold for some time until the net economic effects of the array of changes to government policies become clearer. This, in turn, lifts the USD Index (DXY) beyond the 100 mark and undermines the non-yielding yellow metal.
  • Meanwhile, the Trump administration is reportedly moving to restrict the sale of critical US technologies, including those used in the manufacturing of semiconductors, and certain chemicals, to China. This, along with persistent geopolitical risks, offers support to the XAU/USD pair.
  • Israel’s defence minister Israel Katz announced on Wednesday that their fighter jets struck the target of the Houthi militant group at Yemen’s Sanaa airport for the second time in a month. This strike comes after the Houthis had fired several missiles at Israel in recent days.
  • Russia has proposed holding the next round of direct peace talks with Ukraine in Istanbul on June 2 amid rising pressure from Trump to end the war. Russian sources said that President Vladimir Putin wants a written pledge by Western powers not to enlarge the US-led NATO alliance eastwards.
  • Traders now look forward to Thursday’s US economic docket – featuring the release of the Prelim Q1 GDP print, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, and Pending Home Sales. The focus, however, remains on the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index on Friday.

Gold price bears have the upper hand; Wednesday breakdown below key technical levels remains play

From a technical perspective, the intraday downfall stalls near the 50% retracement level of the recent goodish recovery from the monthly swing low. However, Wednesday’s breakdown below a short-term ascending trend line and the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart favor bearish traders. Adding to this, negative oscillators on the said timeframe suggest that the path of least resistance for the Gold price is to the downside.

Hence, any subsequent recovery is more likely to confront a stiff barrier and remain capped ahead of the $3,300 mark, or the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart. However, some follow-through buying, leading to a further move beyond the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, might trigger a short-covering rally and lift the Gold rice to the $3,324-3,325 hurdle en route to the next relevant resistance near the $3,345-3,350 supply zone.

On the flip side, bearish traders might now wait for sustained weakness below the Asian session low, around the $3,246-3,245 region (50% retracement level), before placing fresh bets. The subsequent fall might then drag the Gold price to the 61.8% Fibo. retracement level, around the $3,215 region. The downward trajectory could extend towards the $3,200 round figure before the XAU/USD eventually drops to the $3,180 support.

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD 0.47% 0.29% 0.77% 0.12% 0.10% 0.55% 0.75%
EUR -0.47% -0.17% 0.31% -0.34% -0.31% 0.07% 0.26%
GBP -0.29% 0.17% 0.49% -0.16% -0.12% 0.23% 0.36%
JPY -0.77% -0.31% -0.49% -0.66% -0.69% -0.28% -0.13%
CAD -0.12% 0.34% 0.16% 0.66% -0.08% 0.42% 0.51%
AUD -0.10% 0.31% 0.12% 0.69% 0.08% 0.38% 0.48%
NZD -0.55% -0.07% -0.23% 0.28% -0.42% -0.38% 0.09%
CHF -0.75% -0.26% -0.36% 0.13% -0.51% -0.48% -0.09%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Read the full article here

Share.
Leave A Reply