- Gold still resides above $3,000 and still has its eyes on the current all-time high at $3,057.
- US President Trump will impose more tariffs, focused on cars, aluminium and against countries buying Venezuelan Oil.
- Gold needs a higher breakout is needed to avoid persisent selling pressure on the topside.
Gold’s price (XAU/USD) hovers above $3,020 at the time of writing on Tuesday with markets recalibrating after tariff headlines from United States (US) President Donald Trump. The president issued an executive order on Monday to impose “secondary tariffs” of 25% on all imports from those countries buying Oil from Venezuela, which would mean a sharp rise in levies on goods from China and India.
On Monday, Trump said reciprocal tariffs will be eased off for countries meeting US requests on reshoring their businesses and factories. He went further and said tariffs on cars, aluminum and pharmaceuticals will be issued in the very near future. Trump also added that lumber and chips could be a potential tariff target as well.
Daily digest market movers: Gold ETF sees pickup in demand
- Gold is finally drawing decent volumes into bullion-backed Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), in what has been one of the more interesting developments in commodities in the near end of the first quarter of 2025. If sustained, it augurs well for prices in the second quarter of the year, Bloomberg reports.
- In the takeover story between Australia’s Gold Road Resources and South Africa’s Gold Fields, Gold Road Resources chief executive Duncan Gibbs says a $3.3 billion takeover bid from Gold Fields is too low, describing the proposal from the Johannesburg-listed miner as extremely aggressive and hostile, Reuters reports.
- A proposal from the Trump administration to impose levies on Chinese-made ships entering US ports is sowing panic in the US agriculture industry, with farmers saying the added cost threatens to upend exports of wheat, corn and soyabeans, the Financial Times reports.
- Trump has come up with a new weapon of economic statecraft on Monday after threatening with “secondary tariffs” on countries that buy Oil from Venezuela to choke off its oil trade with other nations. This was triggering additional tariff concerns with markets seeing this as a secondary way to impose still vast amounts of tariffs without making them reciprocal, Bloomberg reports.
Technical Analysis: Secondary means a whole new thing
The bounce is getting underway this Tuesday after US President Trump’s comments about issuing ‘secondary’ tariffs. His administration is looking to ease off the reciprocal approach. This will make the entire assessment of levies and how to quantify them even more difficult.
On the upside, the daily R1 resistance comes in at $3,028. Further up, the R2 resistance at $3,046 coincides with Friday’s high and the R1 resistance from Monday. This means that this level is a heavy barrier before pointing to the current all-time high at $3,057.
On the downside, some red flags remain as the intraday S1 support stands at $2,997. That means the $3,000 mark is exposed and needs to act on its own as big support. There is no line of defense before to make sure any downturn is being slowed. Further down, the S2 support comes in at $2,984.
XAU/USD: Daily Chart
Tariffs FAQs
Tariffs are customs duties levied on certain merchandise imports or a category of products. Tariffs are designed to help local producers and manufacturers be more competitive in the market by providing a price advantage over similar goods that can be imported. Tariffs are widely used as tools of protectionism, along with trade barriers and import quotas.
Although tariffs and taxes both generate government revenue to fund public goods and services, they have several distinctions. Tariffs are prepaid at the port of entry, while taxes are paid at the time of purchase. Taxes are imposed on individual taxpayers and businesses, while tariffs are paid by importers.
There are two schools of thought among economists regarding the usage of tariffs. While some argue that tariffs are necessary to protect domestic industries and address trade imbalances, others see them as a harmful tool that could potentially drive prices higher over the long term and lead to a damaging trade war by encouraging tit-for-tat tariffs.
During the run-up to the presidential election in November 2024, Donald Trump made it clear that he intends to use tariffs to support the US economy and American producers. In 2024, Mexico, China and Canada accounted for 42% of total US imports. In this period, Mexico stood out as the top exporter with $466.6 billion, according to the US Census Bureau. Hence, Trump wants to focus on these three nations when imposing tariffs. He also plans to use the revenue generated through tariffs to lower personal income taxes.
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